More ▾
← Back to Breakouts Best Breakouts by Realized PnL Historical expectancy and Sharpe by (pattern × stage × grade) cell, computed from the same realized-outcome pool that powers calibration and adaptive weights. Cells with fewer than 3 samples are hidden.
109 outcomesSource: fixtures (sqlite 0, fixtures 109) Horizon: 5d 8/25/2026, 6:29:56 AM
Top cells by expectancy (pattern × stage × grade) # Cell Trades Hit rate Median ret Expectancy Sharpe MaxDD Calmar ▸ 1 channel breakout · completed · C 3 100.0%[44%–100%] -5.8% 11.2% -0.66[-35.57–4.01] -8.4% -5.97 ▸ 2 head shoulders · completed · C 4 50.0%[15%–85%] 0.9% 0.9% -0.73[-7.97–17.34] -7.4% -3.37 ▸ 3 wyckoff distribution · completed · C 3 0.0%[0%–56%] 9.0% 0.0% 20.00[0.00–106.57] 0.0% 0.00 ▸ 4 double top · completed · C 3 33.3%[6%–79%] -0.3% -0.2% -1.23[-8.43–7.82] -14.5% -6.95 ▸ 5 bear flag · completed · C 4 25.0%[5%–70%] 0.9% -0.4% 4.21[-6.15–10.65] -0.6% 180.46 ▸ 6 descending triangle breakdown · completed · C 7 42.9%[16%–75%] 0.0% -1.0% -2.66[-7.20–8.73] -39.7% -5.99 ▸ 7 vcp · completed · C 3 33.3%[6%–79%] -11.0% -2.7% -1.05[-42.01–3.53] -24.3% -5.52 ▸ 8 rectangle breakout · completed · C 22 31.8%[16%–53%] -6.1% -2.9% -3.70[-8.57–-0.62] -55.5% -2.65 ▸ 9 cup handle · completed · C 10 10.0%[2%–40%] -7.5% -4.6% -3.78[-132.45–0.54] -49.8% -4.68 ▸ 10 ascending triangle · completed · C 9 11.1%[2%–44%] -6.3% -4.9% -9.49[-104.12–-3.06] -39.5% -6.24 ▸ 11 wyckoff accumulation · completed · C 3 0.0%[0%–56%] -7.0% -6.7% -30.98[-94.27–0.00] -18.7% -17.95 ▸ 12 double bottom · completed · C 13 7.7%[1%–33%] -7.5% -6.9% -9.97[-53.43–-3.95] -63.9% -5.41 ▸ 13 bull flag · completed · C 22 4.5%[1%–22%] -7.5% -6.9% -14.54[-37.70–-7.63] -80.6% -4.30
Top cells by Sharpe (pattern × regime) # Cell Trades Hit rate Median ret Expectancy Sharpe MaxDD Calmar ▸ 1 wyckoff distribution 3 0.0%[0%–56%] 9.0% 0.0% 20.00[0.00–106.57] 0.0% 0.00 ▸ 2 bear flag 4 25.0%[5%–70%] 0.9% -0.4% 4.21[-6.15–10.65] -0.6% 180.46 ▸ 3 channel breakout 3 100.0%[44%–100%] -5.8% 11.2% -0.66[-35.57–4.01] -8.4% -5.97 ▸ 4 head shoulders 4 50.0%[15%–85%] 0.9% 0.9% -0.73[-7.97–17.34] -7.4% -3.37 ▸ 5 vcp 3 33.3%[6%–79%] -11.0% -2.7% -1.05[-42.01–3.53] -24.3% -5.52 ▸ 6 double top 3 33.3%[6%–79%] -0.3% -0.2% -1.23[-8.43–7.82] -14.5% -6.95 ▸ 7 descending triangle breakdown 7 42.9%[16%–75%] 0.0% -1.0% -2.66[-7.20–8.73] -39.7% -5.99 ▸ 8 rectangle breakout 22 31.8%[16%–53%] -6.1% -2.9% -3.70[-8.57–-0.62] -55.5% -2.65 ▸ 9 cup handle 10 10.0%[2%–40%] -7.5% -4.6% -3.78[-132.45–0.54] -49.8% -4.68 ▸ 10 ascending triangle 9 11.1%[2%–44%] -6.3% -4.9% -9.49[-104.12–-3.06] -39.5% -6.24
Top detectors by expectancy (pattern only) # Cell Trades Hit rate Median ret Expectancy Sharpe MaxDD Calmar ▸ 1 channel breakout 3 100.0%[44%–100%] -5.8% 11.2% -0.66[-35.57–4.01] -8.4% -5.97 ▸ 2 head shoulders 4 50.0%[15%–85%] 0.9% 0.9% -0.73[-7.97–17.34] -7.4% -3.37 ▸ 3 wyckoff distribution 3 0.0%[0%–56%] 9.0% 0.0% 20.00[0.00–106.57] 0.0% 0.00 ▸ 4 double top 3 33.3%[6%–79%] -0.3% -0.2% -1.23[-8.43–7.82] -14.5% -6.95 ▸ 5 bear flag 4 25.0%[5%–70%] 0.9% -0.4% 4.21[-6.15–10.65] -0.6% 180.46 ▸ 6 descending triangle breakdown 7 42.9%[16%–75%] 0.0% -1.0% -2.66[-7.20–8.73] -39.7% -5.99 ▸ 7 vcp 3 33.3%[6%–79%] -11.0% -2.7% -1.05[-42.01–3.53] -24.3% -5.52 ▸ 8 rectangle breakout 22 31.8%[16%–53%] -6.1% -2.9% -3.70[-8.57–-0.62] -55.5% -2.65 ▸ 9 cup handle 10 10.0%[2%–40%] -7.5% -4.6% -3.78[-132.45–0.54] -49.8% -4.68 ▸ 10 ascending triangle 9 11.1%[2%–44%] -6.3% -4.9% -9.49[-104.12–-3.06] -39.5% -6.24