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← Back to Breakouts Best Breakouts by Realized PnL Historical expectancy and Sharpe by (pattern × stage × grade) cell, computed from the same realized-outcome pool that powers calibration and adaptive weights. Cells with fewer than 3 samples are hidden.
Recency window: 30 d 90 d 1 y All Only outcomes detected in the last 90 days 24 outcomesSource: sqlite (sqlite 24, fixtures 0) Horizon: 5d 8/25/2026, 9:34:13 AM
Top cells by expectancy (pattern × stage × grade) # Cell Trades Hit rate Median ret Expectancy Sharpe MaxDD Calmar ▸ 1 breakout retest hold · completed · B 10 40.0%[17%–69%] 9.6% 2.6% 6.63[2.63–14.75] -6.2% 73.07 ▸ 2 head shoulders · completed · C 5 0.0%[0%–43%] 3.9% -3.8% 4.44[-0.84–19.74] -3.8% 87.12
Top cells by Sharpe (pattern × regime) # Cell Trades Hit rate Median ret Expectancy Sharpe MaxDD Calmar ▸ 1 breakout retest hold · bullish uptrend 11 36.4%[15%–65%] 6.4% 1.1% 5.09[1.09–10.92] -7.7% 48.89 ▸ 2 head shoulders · bearish downtrend 4 0.0%[0%–49%] 3.1% -3.8% 3.58[-3.49–31.34] -3.8% 28.87
Top detectors by expectancy (pattern only) # Cell Trades Hit rate Median ret Expectancy Sharpe MaxDD Calmar ▸ 1 breakout retest hold 12 41.7%[19%–68%] 5.4% 1.9% 4.62[1.00–9.34] -9.4% 35.93 ▸ 2 head shoulders 6 0.0%[0%–39%] 5.1% -3.8% 5.69[1.54–17.70] -3.8% 127.71