Research
Calibration Lab
Reliability infrastructure for every probability the product emits. Anchored in Brier (1950), Guo et al. (2017), and Vovk-style conformal coverage, with shrinkage and bucket honesty surfaced before any new alpha layer ships.
Provisional
No persisted calibration snapshots yet
Seed at least 20 resolved signals for a feature and horizon to promote it from provisional status into the calibration deck.